The playoffs will happen, too. As
Tolkien wrote, “There can be only one.”
Was that Tolkien or Mortal Combat? I’d look, but there’s no use in straying too far
from the subject yet. The point is that if you’re going to play a full season
then you have to see it to the conclusion of crowning a single champion. God
knows, I won’t be the winner.
This urge – it’s not an obsession yet –
started with the gradual migration of my childhood crap to the home I share
with my wife. Buried in one of the plastic tubs were my baseball cards and the Baseball Card All-Star Game.
The gist of the game is this: You create
two teams and their batting lineups from whatever conglomeration of baseball
cards you want, and then you play. No batteries required.
My bad. “There can be only one,” is from Highlander. Like the board game, Highlander was made in the 1980s. It’s about a band of immortals
that duel with swords with the goal of decapitating the opponent. The last man
– I think they were all men in the original movie – won the prize of being
immortal. I don’t remember the plot well enough to understand the full crux of
why they were determined to cut each other’s heads off, so I am not sure why
they couldn’t all agree to put the swords down and find a better way to pass
the time. I guess once you get an idea in your head, it’s hard to shake. No
matter how illogical, time-consuming, or all together pointless it is.
I can relate.
The gameplay is simple. There are ten
columns on each side of a laminated piece of cardboard. One side (shaded gray)
is for players with twenty or more home runs during the most recent season
listed on the ball card, and the other side (shaded pink) is for everyone else.
The column headers are batting average ranges, and there are eleven at-bat
outcomes in each column. The outcomes are numbered two to twelve, and you
achieve an outcome by rolling a pair of dice. Simple. Roll a seven, you
strikeout.
The game rules ignore pitchers, but for
posterity’s sake, I include them. I choose rotations and develop bullpens. When
the dice turn on a starter, I go to the pen and even take a look at which arm each
reliever throws with to see if it provides an advantage against an upcoming
batter. Perhaps I should enact a rule that I roll the dice with the hand that
corresponds with the arm the pitcher uses. Details like that matter.
For instance, Highlander starts at a professional wrestling event where the
Fabulous Freebirds were the main attraction. The Freebirds had a couple different
incarnations, but the most successful combination was the trio of Michael
“P.S.” Hayes, Terry “Bam Bam” Gordy, and Buddy “Jack” Roberts. The group
terrorized the southern territories in the 1980s, waving the confederate flag
while also portraying somewhat androgynous characters. Only in professional
wrestling can “redneck” and “androgynous” get over in the south as a successful
gimmick. In all other walks of life, those two terms, especially in the south,
mix as well as oil and water. Watch enough 1980s wrestling broadcasts, and
you’ll likely get hooked to such clichés as things mixing like oil and water.
Another good one is the immovable object meeting the irresistible force. That
means something, but after a million uses, it doesn’t mean anything to me other
than something to do with Hulk Hogan charging into Andre the Giant.
Baseball cards and professional
wrestling occupied much of my childhood. I have a tub of old wrestling
magazines purchased from a local bookstore at a rate of three for a dollar on
Thursdays when my mom would go grocery shopping. And if I were being completely
honest, the day my dad brought home a VHS player after work probably still
ranks as one of my best days. Not only could I watch important films like Highlander, but also I could start
renting wrestling videos from the store. Remember when there were stores to
rent movies?
For most, opening Highlander with a wrestling scene didn’t add much, but for me, it’s
probably why a line like “There can be
only one” is still floating around my subconscious. It doesn’t seem like
much, but it mattered to me. Stuff like that always runs through my mind when I
am writing. So does the baseball game.
While writing this, a bulb lit up above
my head. It’s the best thought I’ve had today. The pitcher can bat despite the
fact that most card sets do not include a pitcher’s hitting stats. See pitchers
are like my writing career, very few hits. Ba-dum.
We can assume every pitcher slugged under twenty home runs and had a batting
average below the Mendoza line. This is a monumental thought in my desire to
simulate a season. By employing this method, I can recreate the unique nature
of both the National and American Leagues. Before this revelation, I employed a
designated hitter in every lineup. Lame.
A note on the Mendoza line: The dubious
honor for hitters with an average below .200 is named after former professional
shortstop Mario Mendoza. For position players, sustaining a mark below .200
likely means their days on the roster are numbered. Mendoza accomplished the
feat four times in five seasons in the late 1970s. It’s a fluke that he
survived that long, and now his name is associated for failure in a game that he
likely spent his entire life trying to perfect. Double lame.
I am an aspiring writer, but as of this
paragraph, I am making Mendoza look like a hall of famer, unless you count
publication in the sports section of the local newspaper. I’ve done that
thousands of times, but I don’t count it. Before the sports reporters gather
the pitchforks and torches, I am proud of my journalism career, it’s just not
my current aspiration.
I don’t know if there is a writing
equivalent to Mendoza. Someone who achieved their goal of publishing, but did
so at such a mediocre level that it’s viewed by the industry as trite or
meaningless or even detrimental – as Mendoza’s inability to hit undoubtedly hurt
his team. Maybe Stephanie Meyer is that writer. Her Twilight books were panned by the industry despite selling like
hotcakes. I guess I’ll try to avoid the Meyer Line. Except I’d love to get
published, as Meyer accomplished, and boy, the money she made wouldn’t bother
me either. I am a sellout, after all.
Christopher Lambert is a little bit like
Mendoza, except that it feels like Lambert got cut after one bad season. Lambert
played the leading role in Highlander
and its subsequent sequels, but I can’t name another movie he starred in. Heck,
I can’t name another movie he appeared in, much less was the lead. I also
refuse to cheat and check on Google for his filmography. I suppose Highlander is trite and meaningless (although
it does make you wonder if living forever would be all that wonderful), but I
can’t say it’s any more or less detrimental to the film industry than the bevy
of action movies from the 1980s. And nobody refers to an actor falling below
the Lambert Line or a film below the Highlander
Line.
The professional wrestling equivalent to
Mendoza? The Honky Tonk Man. Or maybe X-Pac. I can’t decide. My mom once called
me wishy-washy. She was right.
The inclusion of pitchers is
controversial. With such a poor batting average, the likelihood of a hit would
be low, and let’s face it, scoring runs is more fun. The argument persists in
MLB, as well. Pitchers don’t practice hitting because the money in their ample paychecks
is derived solely from their ability to throw pitches either at blistering
speeds and/or with brutal movement. A few pitchers take pride in hitting, and
occasionally one will get a hold of a ball and drive it over the wall. Fans
love that. Americans love the underdog, and there might not be any bigger
underdog in sports than a pitcher gripping a bat. Of course, America hasn’t
been the underdog since the end of the Civil War. We’ve dominated the world
theatre and throw fits when the slightest thing happens that doesn’t benefit
us. We’re a strange folk. Selfish. Erratic. Comfortable. Endearing. Comical.
Probably smelly.
The pundits – the new age pundits for
the old-school guys detest change – call for the designated hitter to be
adopted by the National League. The American League has utilized the designated
hitter since the 1970s. We of the age of sabermetrics and reason and
alternative facts have evolved beyond the momentary satisfaction of seeing a
pitcher flail at a ball two feet out of the zone. Sometimes we are all just too
damned smart for our own good.
I
was never good enough to swing anything other than aluminum lumber that pinged
when it made hard contact rather than making that crack that poets, musicians,
and lazy sports writers romanticize. Maybe there is an App with the wood bat
sound that I could play while simulating the season. The only sound the game
offers now is the dice bouncing off the board – a square board with a field
pictured and rectangles at each base to place a card when hitters become base
runners after hits or walks. Hearing the dice rattle around for seconds takes
me back to my youth, to quiet days in my bedroom playing the game. I probably fantasized
about simulating an entire season at that point, too. The dice sound really
doesn’t stir my poetic soul like the crack of a bat does for so many others. Better
check the Google Play Store.
My abilities were so limited that I remember
only two in-game at-bats. The first was early in my Little League career when I
drew a walk, tossed my bat, and as my cleats squished down on first base, I gave
a huge sigh of relief. My coach was incredulous at my reaction. Instead of
standing at the plate fighting for a hit, I was satisfied to accept either a
walk or a strikeout looking. I didn’t have the confidence yet to take true
hacks and have faith that my bat could actually connect. Keep in mind, I am a
guy who has thought about writing for most of his life, and at thirty-five is
finally dedicating the time to do it and investigating opportunities for
publication. I’ve never been quick to stick my neck out.
The second at-bat came during a
tournament years later. I creamed a pitch – I mean I smashed that ball so hard
that the seams receded into the rawhide – and it ended up one-hopping the fence
in left field for a ground-rule double. My dad missed the hit while at the
concession stand; I don’t know why I remember that. That was the closest I ever
came to hitting a home run, and by God, there must not be a better feeling than
hitting a dinger because that double felt amazing. It felt so good that I still
think about it two decades later. I wonder what seeing my name in print will be
like. Hopefully like standing on the second-base bag on a summer night with the
moths swirling around the lights and the breeze whistling in my ears.
Frank
Deford, a former Sports Illustrated
writer, became a sports journalist after his college basketball coach told him
he wrote about basketball better than he played it. I didn’t have anyone in my
life quite so blunt, but I came to the same conclusion. After college, I caught
on at the paper because I thought I could write a little, and they were willing
to pay me to do it. Relishing in past glory never really entered the equation.
Mostly it confirmed that most athletes were naturally better than I was. That’s
okay, can they churn out roughly five thousand words on a board game? Take that,
athletes.
I don’t cover sports anymore, or I don’t
do it enough to consider myself a journalist. I took a gig with better hours
and better pay about a year ago. See sellout reference above.
The extra time has led me to writing on
my own, but it hasn’t been easy. You know,
having ideas is one thing. Having talent is another. Heck, having a strong
enough vocabulary concerns me. Many evenings with a blank screen before me is
like standing at the plate way back in Little League, hoping that the pitcher
doesn’t throw three strikes before ball four. Sigh.
So
I linger on the feasibility of completing a season.
The first step is creating teams. I have
thousands of baseball cards, all from the late 1980s to the early 1990s. It
would probably be best to pick an entire set. I have one of those – a 1991 Donruss set I bought on the cheap at
some point. These cards have either a green or blue border around the player
photos, and I am not sure how they decided on who got what colors. The cards came out before the 1991 season,
and thus depict the stats and results from 1990.
The early 1990s were a different time.
To be attached to a phone meant also being attached to the wall. Computers were
used primarily for data processing and rudimentary games. It’d be the mid-90s
before their true use as pornography hubs would be realized. Al Gore was a
politician and not a tech whiz or a climate cop, and his wife, Tipper, had just
lost a battle to censor popular music against the guy from Twisted Sister and John Denver. And when someone told a joke about
Donald Trump being president, everyone laughed.
I was eight in 1990 and living on a farm
in rural Illinois. My brother was eight years my senior, so you know, he didn’t want anything to do with me. My sister was
four years older, and, you know, I
didn’t want anything to do with her. In terms of entertainment, we had an Atari that we hooked up to a 13-inch TV
in our kitchen in the evenings. That TV had rabbit ears and two dials to pull
from two different kinds of aerial signals. The signals were acronyms. I think
one was UHF, but that might just have
been a Weird Al Yankovic movie. We
didn’t have cable or a satellite dish, which by today’s definition qualifies as
child abuse. I am not complaining, but I probably did then. That life wasn’t so
bad. It had its nuances and routines, and as I get older, I appreciate that. Without
all the modern distractions, overthinking baseball board games was a definite
option for me (when professional wrestling wasn’t on the tube).
Each league had two divisions in 1990
rather than the three now. There were twelve teams in the N.L. and fourteen in
the A.L. Two teams made the playoffs from each league, as opposed to the five
that make it now. The Rockies, Marlins, Rays and Diamondbacks didn’t exist, and
the Nationals were the Expos and played in Montreal rather than Washington D.C.
Interleague play during the regular season was still a dream in Bud Selig’s
mind, and the players could pass as my neighbor rather than powerlifters in
uniform.
Not everything made sense in 1990. The
Cincinnati Reds and Atlanta Braves were in the N.L. West, while the Chicago
Cubs and St. Louis Cardinals were in the N.L. East. Of course, the Braves had
moved from Milwaukee to Atlanta, so they simply occupied the former Braves’ spot
in the geography-based divisions. Changing divisions basically needed unanimous
congressional approval at that point. It’s happened a time or two since 1990,
including the expansion to six divisions, but a lot of that happened after MLB
broke its fans’ hearts with a strike that claimed the World Series in 1994.
Expo and White Sox fans – the two teams most likely to make the World Series – will never forget that strike. Most other fans
didn’t forget it until Sammy Sosa and Mark McGwire started hitting genetically
enhanced dingers in 1998. Steroids were the Band-Aid the sport needed to heal
most fans. Even when the homers came into question, most fans only
half-heartedly cared. The purists raged, but the rest of us shrugged our
shoulders and kept watching. The Bill Clinton sex scandal was pretty much the
same way, at least until 2016 when twenty-year-old transgressions helped keep
Hillary Clinton out of office. We’re a pious country again and will be until
we’re tired of it. I give it three years.
The latest thought: Do I recreate the exact
schedule from 1990? The Baseball
Reference website provides results and box scores. A truly revolutionary
idea is to research the lineups and pitchers from each game and play with
those. The sticky wicket is that a baseball roster is constantly changing. Some
guys are promoted from the minors for a game or two, but never receive a
baseball card. The point being is that there would be variances, and once you
have one, the whole experiment is tainted.
Although the variances are what frees
this from being some humdrum replaying of a 27-year-old season. This freedom
opens a door for my creativity. Within reason, I can do anything I want with
the lineups, so long as I hold to a personal code that what I am doing is in
the best interest of that team and adheres to basic baseball philosophy.
I also have the prescience of knowing
which young players become great and which turn into duds. John Kruk, for
example, is in my 1991 set. It’s early in his career, and he almost appears
svelte and is listed as an outfielder. I know that in the years to come, he
gains weight, plays first base exclusively, and becomes a key cog for the
Phillies as they vie for a world championship. Having this knowledge has me
leaning to moving him to first base, replacing a mediocre Ricky Jordan, and
seeing if Kruk’s talent bears through when dice are used rather than bats. This
power is intoxicating.
The 1990 season, which started with a
lockout that lasted a week, finished with the Reds beating the Athletics, the
defending champions, in a four-game sweep in the World Series. The outcome was
as surprising as it was dominating. It’s like when Christopher Lambert’s
character slices the head off the hulking antagonist in Highlander. The antagonist was huge, and Lambert came across as
sort of a prissy antique dealer. On paper, the bad dude was the clear favorite.
I guess that’s why they have the sword fights.
I could only be so lucky to have such a
surprising end to a simulation. Endings are important. We dwell on them. The
end of movies and books. The end of games. The winners. The losers. All of it
is a simulation of our lives, and our hopes that we end appropriately,
dramatically, exceptionally, and so on. That’s part of the reason doomsday
predictions are so prevalent. As if our lives are so important that our end
will coincide with the destruction of the earth. Most people are going to be
disappointed by their end. It’s likely going to be the clichéd old, lost in a
deluge of pain relievers or dementia, and without any last-second deep thoughts
spouted from our lips. And the rest of the world will keep moving.
But should we care so much about the
end?
Growing up a professional wrestling fan,
I inevitably was involved in discussions about the predetermined nature of the
matches. Once I grew old enough to form a logical opinion, I didn’t see the
reasoning for people to dismiss it solely based on the notion that one person
was picked to win and the other picked to lose. The joy isn’t only in the
result. It is in the performance. The drama. The athleticism. The story being
told. It is entertainment. Christopher Lambert, after all, stood tall at the
end of Highlander, because the script
called for it to happen. Hulk Hogan did the same hundreds of times.
If this simulation comes to fruition and
I complete it, I imagine I’ll feel a sense of vindication and relief. Maybe
sadness? The same emotions are likely if I were to get published.
Before I dwell on the sadness, we should
talk about stats. Simulating this season isn’t occupying my mind only to see if
team records would align with the actual results. Although that is an
interesting thought, my mind is on the stats.
With the game theoretically assigning
higher probabilities of hits for those with a track record of doing so, it is
my interest to find out if players would perform on par with the stats
displayed on the card.
Keep in mind, we’ve eliminated all the variables
of actual baseball: weather conditions, player health, umpire preferences, and
so on. Also eliminated are defensive errors (breathe a sigh of relief all you
players with stone hands), double plays (a pitcher’s best friend), and
managerial idiosyncrasies concerning player management, base running, bullpen
use, and bunting.
It’s baseball in a perfect world. Every ball
in play is either a clean hit or an out.
There’s something completely 1990 about
that and utterly un-2017 about it. We can look back at 1990 through rose-colored
lenses and wistfully dream of being in such a simple era. I am not just talking
about baseball here. Because it’s the past, we can aptly identify the good and
bad outcomes in every situation. Heck, the bad stuff doesn’t seem that bad. We
made it through it, didn’t we? Besides, doesn’t it feel like everything was
more cut-and-dry? Maybe that’s because I
was eight in 1990, and the world fit contextually in the small set of truths I
had developed and accepted.
Truth in 2017? A clean hit or an out? That’s
too simple for a world so compelled to argue about everything, and so quick to
damn reason if it doesn’t fit into the narrative being wrote by our team.
The fact is that the hardliner against
professional wrestling wasn’t going to be convinced to appreciate it because it
was “fake.” Today’s world has similar lines drawn on hundreds of issues, and so
many can’t be persuaded to change their thoughts, even if you show them the
smoke from coal plants eating a hole in the ozone layer while a windmill’s
blades stand still a mile away.
And politics. God, politics. I can’t
believe how much politics occupies my mind. In fact, this whole business about
simulating a season is one of the few things that can consistently distract me
from the insanity overcoming this country. I don’t even like politics. I’ve
never followed it, but now I can’t escape it.
It pisses me off.
Future presidents will worry about
approaching the Trump Line. There, I said it.
Okay, breathe in…breathe out.
I
trust that rational people in positions of power exist. It’s all I can do. … and
play the baseball card game.
The compiling of stats creates a
two-fold problem. One, it complicates the actual gameplay and increases the
time for each game. A conservative guess being that it adds ten minutes per
game. Probably more.
Statistical tracking starts with
creating a baseball scorebook using one of the dozen or so wire-ringed notebooks
that also migrated over in the plastic tubs. It occurs to me that whole forests
have died from notebooks that get used a little bit one school year and then
get deposited in some closet or drawer in the summer, and then new ones are
bought for the next school year. Most kids probably dump the notebooks on their
way out of school on the last day. I couldn’t do that. The blank pages offered
so many possibilities. It saddens me that so many pages remained blank when I
discovered them years later. It’s like I had dreams, but none of them were
worth writing down.
That’s a half truth. I didn’t fill the
notebooks, but I did use many of the pages and then systematically ripped them
out, lest risk facing the embarrassment of somebody finding them and reading my
personal thoughts. Part of me is still paranoid of people reading things I
write. Yes, I was published thousands of times in a newspaper. Yes, there were
mornings when I woke up and hoped no one would notice the by-line. It’s a hard
habit to kick.
Keeping score for a baseball game is
nothing new for me, but the creating of the scorebook for each game takes time.
I don’t keep quite as detailed notes as I did when covering games at the paper
because I don’t have to worry about turning some of the action into a narrative
later. It’s such a strange thing that I’d focus on something so obsessed with
numbers and devoid of narrative. The last few years at the paper I was the
sports editor, and my main emphasis was to get my reporters to worry less about
the numbers and the games and focus on telling the story of the players.
Of course, I am not dealing with real
people. At least not people that are real anymore. They are thin pieces of
cardboard with dated images, stat lines, and the faint smell of bubble gum. My
experiment is to see if the random nature of dice can recreate those numbers.
It’s heartless, monotonous, and the perfect distraction from the dysfunction of
the government and the lackluster realities of my writing abilities.
Keeping the stats is the first part.
Tracking the stats is the second. Becoming a sellout has provided me with Microsoft
Excel skills. I even created a spreadsheet to track upcoming writing contests with
columns for the fees, the deadlines, the word-count restrictions, and
hyperlinks to the contest websites. I’ve found I like creating spreadsheets
more than I like updating them. Updating is work. That’s why God created
everything in seven days and then wished us good luck. Creation is divine. Maintenance
is the hard work.
Excel is a beautifully soulless program
that through the manipulation of data cells is the logical way to chart things
like statistics. The one thing that it won’t do though is enter the data for
me, and there’s a lot of data entry just to set up 26 rosters, plus team
results, and league standings. I’d really like to track league leaders, too. It’s
too bad I don’t have it in the league budget to hire an assistant.
Once all the teams are set, some of this
will go faster, but it’s still roughly thirty minutes per game and let’s say
ten minutes of entering the results into the spreadsheet. That’s forty minutes
multiplied by 2,430. That’s 97,200 minutes to play the entire season. Using an Excel
formula, let’s make that number make more sense. All right, add a pair of parentheses,
a slash, and a sixty, and the result is 1,620 hours. A couple more key strokes
and that translates to 67.5 days. That’s faster than an actual baseball season,
assuming I did nothing else, like eat, drink, sleep, and defecate.
That’s just the regular season. The
playoffs would be another few hours, depending on if each series went seven
games. It’d be swell if they did.
When it ends, whether dramatically or
with an underwhelming thud, I’ll have to face the reality of this venture.
That’s where the sadness enters. Whenever something ends, there’s some level of
sadness because whatever joy derived during the journey transitions to the
past. The sadness, in this case, will be multiplied by the reality that those
hours could have been filled by writing. Also, how dorky is it that I had
nothing better to do?
I have to admit that the numbers above
are less daunting than I thought they would be, which ultimately has me
second-guessing my math. When I was in seventh grade, I won math student of the
year honors. My interest and ability in the subject declined thereafter. Too
much, too soon, I suppose. Truthfully, stuff with numbers came rather easily to
me. Writing was more of a challenge.
And I still don’t know if I am any good
at it?
That’s the ego confrontation I am hiding
from with this whole baseball season business. For all the years of tinkering,
I have more vindication concerning my ability to do junior high math than I do of
any discernible writing talent.
In writing, there are an incalculable
number games to be played before achieving anything, and there’s no guarantee
that achievement is even waiting. Baseball is an appropriate comparison. It’s
the game of failure. A great player records an out seven out of ten times he
steps up to the plate. A writer faces and receives rejection at a much higher
clip, especially a new writer.
It’s an emotional risk to set out to do
something where the probable result is utter failure.
I loathe thinking about it like that,
but it’s ever-present in my mind right next to thoughts about our oxygen being
choked out of existence by carbon emissions and Donald Trump’s increasingly
orange-tinted face.
It makes me reach toward distractions.
Maybe the immortals in Highlander needed the threat of losing their
heads to distract them from the reality of living forever. I suppose you can
only bury so many friends, family, and lovers before it numbs the heart. There
is life found in death. That sort of explains why they spent centuries whittling
their numbers down to one. It was a barbaric act of mercy. The one left was the
cursed victor.
Baseball dwindles teams down to one each
season. Even if every team returned the exact same players and played the same
schedule as the season before, the results would be different. I guess I don’t
really need to do a simulation to know things will turn out differently. The reality
of varying results provides hope. As a fan of the Cubs, I spent most of my life
clinging to that hope. Then 2016 happened and with it the reward for all those
years of waiting.
Can the same happen to my writing
career?
I hope so.